If you’ve been following the presidential campaign on the Internet, then you’ve probably stumbled across Nate Silver’s decidedly innovative FiveThirtyEight.com.
Nate’s a friend of mine and a colleague over at Baseball Prospectus, and having a familiarity with his intelligence and enterprising nature, I’m not surprised by the success of FiveThirtyEight. In essence, Nate is applying the principles of Sabermetrics (i.e., the use of objective evidence/statistics to analyze the game of baseball) to the electoral college. The output is a predictive system the likes of which politics has never seen. As the general approaches, it’s an essential resource.